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UFC 228 Betting: Woodley vs. Till preview

7/9/2018
Tyron Woodley’s comeback clash with Darren Till is set to fascinate UFC fans this weekend.

Last week, Woodley was 4/5 with bookmakers to beat the Englishman, who was at that point a 12/11 underdog.

A week later, however, and Till is now favourite with some bookies, while most price the pair at an identical 10/11.

It’s easy to see why the likes of Bet365, Sky Bet and William Hill can’t separate the two fighters. Welterweight champion Woodley, a standout wrestler on a four-fight win streak, has been out of action since last July while recovering from shoulder surgery.

Till, meanwhile, only got his shot after interim champion Colby Covington pulled out. His odds have steadily risen, though, due to his unbeaten record, impressive wins over Stephen Thompson and Donald Cerrone and 10 KO victories.

So often, mixed martial arts fights boil down to a clash of styles. Certain fighters are known for their wrestling supremacy and, on paper, Woodley is the master grappler here, boasting a takedown accuracy of 45.6% and a 94.8% takedown defence.

Till is the theoretical striker who prefers to stand and trade, averaging 2.67 significant strikes per minute thanks to his unique style and solid counterpunching.

Woodley is a great striker in his own right and, adding to the intrigue, Till is seen by many as an underrated grappler.

Still, the fighters’ reputations reflect clearly in their odds. Till is the 2/1 favourite with Betfair to win via KO, TKO or disqualification, while Woodley is 11/4 with the same bookmaker to win via decision. In the latter market, Till is 7/2.

Both recently proved they can last the distance and the overall round betting favours a points verdict.

In other words, it’s too close to call. Who needs Conor McGregor to keep things interesting?

By Tim Poole
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