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World Cup top goalscorer betting: Look to South American stars

24/2/2014
With the World Cup still four months off odds will only narrow, so now is the time to get betting. The top goalscorer market offers a decent pay-off even for the favourites.

Unsurprisingly, Lionel Messi is favourite at 15/2 with Bet365. Argentina have an easy group, facing Bosnia-Herzegovina, Iran and Nigeria, so if he stays fit Messi could improve on some previous lacklustre international performances and make this tournament his. Alternatively, Sergio Aguero was prolific this season until injury hit and should be back to full fitness by June. The Man City man is 19.0 with Bwin.

Joint second favourites are Brazil’s Neymar and Portugal’s Ballon D’Or winner Cristiano Ronaldo, both at 13.0 with Winner. Brazil face three teams with suspect defences in their group matches (Mexico, Croatia and Cameroon) and with home advantage could score plenty. Neymar tends to play off the main striker though so his forward partner Hulk (33/1, Bet365) offers more value. As for Ronaldo, he is a great player in an average, ageing team in a tough group (Germany, USA and Ghana) and so is best avoided.

The group stages are where Golden Boots are won. Dodgy defences can do as much for a striker as their own brilliance. As World Cup defences go, they don’t get dodgier than that of Honduras, a side who France will face along with Ecuador and Switzerland. Karim Benzema is most likely to cash in and is 34.0 with Winner.

Colombia also have an easy group and will handle the climate well. Star striker Falcao is the best player so far to be ruled out of the tournament so his replacement, River Plate’s Gutierrez (66/1 with Bet365) and Porto’s Jackson Martinez (101.0 with Winner) are worth backing.

Hedge your bets and back Aguero, Hulk, Benzema and Martinez, any of whom would pay off handsomely.

Joe Lo
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