Gambling’s Premier League Week 21 Predictions & Betting Odds
Aston Villa v Everton
Both of these mid-table sides are relatively unpredictable and inconsistent, although Villa have lost all four of their previous home games. It’s worth noting however that three of those fixtures were against Man Utd, Liverpool and Arsenal. Both sides average about a goal a game in the league, and Everton haven’t been involved in a game featuring a total of more than three goals since October 23rd, so a low-scoring draw is a distinct possibility.
Bet: 1-1 draw @ 11/2
Blackburn v Fulham
Mid-table Fulham have only collected eight points away from home this season, scoring just six goals. That record is poor, but it’s still good enough to better Blackburn’s meagre haul of six home points, while Rovers also have the league’s second-worst home defensive record. Fulham are unbeaten in four games in all competitions, while Blackburn seem to struggle to raise their game against sides outside the top six. A narrow Fulham win is therefore on the cards here.
Bet: Fulham to win 1-0 @ 8/1
Chelsea v Sunderland
This is a match that will probably play out rather differently to how the statistics and league table would suggest. On paper Chelsea are relatively strong at home and Sunderland average away, but the Black Cats are resurgent under new manager Martin O’Neill and are the kind of side who could really shake up a hit-and-miss Blues side. Best to avoid a result or correct score bet then, and instead look to both teams to find the net.
Bet: Both teams to score @ Evens
Liverpool v Stoke
Liverpool are unbeaten at home in the league this season, conceding just eight goals in the process, while visitors Stoke have only found the net eight times on their travels. Both sides are in decent league and cup form and the Reds will be particularly buoyed by their midweek Carling Cup success over Man City. Their talismanic midfielder Steven Gerrard has scored in three of his side’s last four fixtures, so let’s back him to celebrate his new contract by netting the opening goal of this match.
Bet: Steven Gerrard to score the first goal @ 5/1
Man Utd v Bolton
Manchester United currently average three goals a game at home in the league this season, which doesn’t bode well for a Bolton side who have conceded 19 times in ten away matches. Wanderers have registered just one win in their last ten games in all competitions and there’s no sign of that record being improved here. The odds on an outright United win aren’t very attractive, so look instead to the game containing plenty of goals.
Bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 20/21
Tottenham v Wolves
People may have laughed if you dared to broach the subject two months ago, but the bandwagon to brand Spurs true title contenders is finally gaining the momentum it deserves. Having taken maximum points from their last two games without conceding a goal, Wolves at home should pose minimal threat to Harry Redknapp’s in-form side and we expect Emmanuel Adebayor to find the net again in this one.
Bet: Emmanuel Adebayor To Score First @ 4/1
West Brom v Norwich
With just three points separating the two teams in the Barclays Premier League and almost identical form in their last three games, West Brom’s home clash with promoted Norwich looks a really tough game to call. Though the return of Shane Long has lifted Roy Hodgson’s team, the Baggies are still struggling for goals this season and given Norwich’s resilience this season, this could end honours even.
Bet: West Brom And Norwich To Draw 1-1 @ 13/2
Newcastle v QPR
Having humbled Manchester United at home in their last game, most neutrals are keen to see how Newcastle will perform without two of their outstanding players this season in Cheick Tiote and Demba Ba. Though their team is still solid enough, without the guile of the two African players they might not be able to open up a QPR side that will undoubtedly be solid if not spectacular under new boss Mark Hughes.
Bet: Newcastle And QPR to Draw 0-0 @11/1
Swansea v Arsenal
As a promoted side, if you can turn your home ground into a fortress you’re more than half-way to beating the drop, and under Brendan Rogers Swansea have certainly done just that this season. With an organised defence and the league’s most impressive keeper in Michel Vorm, the Swans don’t concede many at home and we expect them to take the game to Gunners in what should be a low-scoring affair.
Bet: Under 1.5 Goals @ 12/5
Wigan v Manchester City
Given Manchester City are currently top of the table and technically still competing on three fronts this season it’s hard to call their recent run a “slump”, but after two cup defeats in two games Roberto Mancini will want a response from his team this weekend. Fortunately, they travel to Wigan who, despite improving slightly of late, still have a tendency to be blown away when the big teams come out firing.
Bet: Over 3.5 Goals @ 6/4